都市郊区农户韧性与适应疫情冲击的机制分析

李家薰; 赵华健; 陈诚

doi:10.16152/j.cnki.xdxbzr.2026-04-019

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都市郊区农户韧性与适应疫情冲击的机制分析

人地系统科学 | 更新时间：2026-07-27

- 都市郊区农户韧性与适应疫情冲击的机制分析
- Mechanism analysis of resilience and adaptation of urban farmers to the impact of the epidemic
- 西北大学学报（自然科学版） 2026年56卷第4期页码：927-940
- 作者机构：
  
  1.南京信息工程大学　地理科学学院，江苏　南京　210000
  2.中国科学院南京地理与湖泊研究所，江苏　南京　210000
  3.中国科学院大学南京学院，江苏　南京　211135
- 作者简介：
  
  李家薰，女，博士，讲师，从事乡村地理研究，lijho129@qq.com。
  陈诚，男，博士，副研究员，从事农业转型与城乡发展研究，chchen@niglas.ac.cn。
- 基金信息：
  
  国家自然科学基金(42571260;42171211)
- DOI：10.16152/j.cnki.xdxbzr.2026-04-019
  中图分类号： F327
- 收稿：2026-02-23，
  
  修回：2026-04-07，
  
  纸质出版：2026-08-25
- 稿件说明：
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李家薰, 赵华健, 陈诚. 都市郊区农户韧性与适应疫情冲击的机制分析[J]. 西北大学学报（自然科学版）, 2026,56(4):927-940.

Li Jiaxun, Zhao Huajian, Chen Cheng. Mechanism analysis of resilience and adaptation of urban farmers to the impact of the epidemic[J]. Journal of Northwest University (Natural Science Edition), 2026, 56(4): 927-940.
李家薰, 赵华健, 陈诚. 都市郊区农户韧性与适应疫情冲击的机制分析[J]. 西北大学学报（自然科学版）, 2026,56(4):927-940. DOI： 10.16152/j.cnki.xdxbzr.2026-04-019.

Li Jiaxun, Zhao Huajian, Chen Cheng. Mechanism analysis of resilience and adaptation of urban farmers to the impact of the epidemic[J]. Journal of Northwest University (Natural Science Edition), 2026, 56(4): 927-940. DOI： 10.16152/j.cnki.xdxbzr.2026-04-019.

摘要

农业是人类生存的根基，韧性农户群体的培育是农业持续发展的关键。本文基于农户和专家问卷调查数据，运用多属性决策与有序逻辑回归模型，研究了新冠疫情冲击下长三角核心都市郊区农户的韧性水平，探究了农户适应的驱动机理。结果表明：①尽管疫情深刻影响农业生产流通过程，但大部分受访农户维持了生产经营的稳定开展，韧性水平总体较高；②细分农业品类的农户差别明显，粮农韧性最强，果农次之，菜农韧性水平最低；③金融资本、创新精神和市场认知是影响韧性水平的主要因子，但外部支持和风险感知能力同样不可缺失；④以农业生计为主的农户家庭，劳动力丰富、资金充足、人脉广阔、组织参与程度较深，对于缓冲、应对疫情冲击的能力较强。注重多维度增强农户应对突发事件干扰的能力，是促进农业有序稳定发展的重要途径。

Abstract

Agriculture is the foundation of human survival

and the cultivation of resilient farmer groups is a key aspect of sustainable agricultural development

which has received much research attention. Based on the survey data of farmers and experts

it mainly studies the resilience level of rural households in the core urban suburbs of the Yangtze River Delta under the impact of COVID-19

and explores the driving mechanism of farmers' adaptation by using the multiple attribute decision making and ordered logical regression model. The results indicate that despite the profound impact of the epidemic on agricultural production and circulation

most of the surveyed farmers have maintained stable production and operation

with an overall high level of resilience. There is a significant difference in the resilience of farmers in the subdivision of agricultural categories

with food farmers having the strongest resilience

followed by fruit farmers

and vegetable farmers having the lowest resilience level. Financial capital

innovative spirit

and market awareness are the main factors affecting resilience levels

but external support and risk perception capabilities are equally indispensable. Moreover

farmers who rely mainly on agricultural livelihoods have abundant labor force

sufficient funds

broad networks

and deep organizational participation. They have a strong ability to buffer and respond to the impact of the epidemic. Strengthening the ability of farmers to cope with unexpected events from multiple dimensions is an important way to promote the orderly and stable development of agriculture.

关键词

Keywords

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