乡村振兴战略背景下乡村空心化评价及其驱动机制研究：以四川省为例

段钰; 丁明涛; 庙成; 何雨枫

doi:10.16152/j.cnki.xdxbzr.2026-04-012

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乡村振兴战略背景下乡村空心化评价及其驱动机制研究：以四川省为例

人地系统科学 | 更新时间：2026-07-27

- 乡村振兴战略背景下乡村空心化评价及其驱动机制研究：以四川省为例
- Assessment and driving mechanism of rural hollowing under the rural revitalization strategy: A case study of Sichuan Province
- 西北大学学报（自然科学版） 2026年56卷第4期页码：830-840
- 作者机构：
  
  1.西南交通大学　地球科学与工程学院，四川　成都　611756
  2.宁夏师范学院　资源环境与生命科学学院，宁夏　固原　756099
- 作者简介：
  
  段钰，男，博士研究生，主要从事气候变化下地质灾害风险预测研究，swjtuduanyu@163.com。
  丁明涛，男，博士，教授，从事地质灾害风险控制与聚落减灾研究，mingtaoding@163.com。
- 基金信息：
  
  国家自然科学基金(42371203)
- DOI：10.16152/j.cnki.xdxbzr.2026-04-012
  中图分类号： F323.6
- 收稿：2026-02-26，
  
  修回：2026-04-10，
  
  纸质出版：2026-08-25
- 稿件说明：
移动端阅览
段钰, 丁明涛, 庙成, 等. 乡村振兴战略背景下乡村空心化评价及其驱动机制研究：以四川省为例[J]. 西北大学学报（自然科学版）, 2026,56(4):830-840.

Duan Yu, Ding Mingtao, Miao Cheng, et al. Assessment and driving mechanism of rural hollowing under the rural revitalization strategy: A case study of Sichuan Province[J]. Journal of Northwest University (Natural Science Edition), 2026, 56(4): 830-840.
段钰, 丁明涛, 庙成, 等. 乡村振兴战略背景下乡村空心化评价及其驱动机制研究：以四川省为例[J]. 西北大学学报（自然科学版）, 2026,56(4):830-840. DOI： 10.16152/j.cnki.xdxbzr.2026-04-012.

Duan Yu, Ding Mingtao, Miao Cheng, et al. Assessment and driving mechanism of rural hollowing under the rural revitalization strategy: A case study of Sichuan Province[J]. Journal of Northwest University (Natural Science Edition), 2026, 56(4): 830-840. DOI： 10.16152/j.cnki.xdxbzr.2026-04-012.

摘要

随着城市化和现代化的快速发展，传统村落的人口向周边地区迁移，造成了乡村空心化现象。识别乡村空心化空间分布格局及其驱动机制，是当前乡村振兴战略中急需解决的重要课题。在此背景下，以四川省183个县（市、区）为研究区，从人口经济、土地、基础设施3个子系统入手构建乡村空心化评价框架和指标体系，运用三角模糊数层次分析法和多元回归分析，揭示了四川省乡村空心化空间分布格局及形成机制。结果表明：①四川省人口经济空心化程度由中心城市向周围逐渐减小，呈现出东高西低的分布格局，而土地空心化和基础设施空心化则呈现出东低西高的分布格局；②综合空心化呈现出均衡发展的态势，高值区主要集中于成都平原及其周边地区，分布趋势由中心城市向周围地域逐渐减缓；③四川省乡村空心化是多种因素作用的结果，地均财政收入和农林牧渔总产值分别是正相关和负相关影响最大的因素。

Abstract

With the rapid development of urbanization and modernization

the population of traditional villages has migrated to the surrounding areas

resulting in the phenomenon of rural hollowing. Identifying the spatial pattern of rural hollowing differentiation and its driving mechanism is an important topic that needs to be urgently addressed in the current rural revitalization strategy. In this context

this study took the 183 counties and urban areas in Sichuan Province as the study area

constructed the rural hollowing assessment framework and index system from the three subsystems of population and economy

land and infrastructure

and used the triangular fuzzy number-based hierarchical analysis method and multiple regression analysis to reveal the spatial distribution pattern of rural hollowing and its formation mechanism in Sichuan Province. The results show that: ① The degree of population and economic hollowing gradually decreases from the central city to the surrounding area

showing a distribution pattern of high in the east and low in the west

while the land hollowing and infrastructure hollowing show a distribution pattern of low in the east and high in the west; ② The comprehensive hollowing shows a balanced development

with the high value area mainly concentrated in the Chengdu Plain and its periphery

and the distribution tendency is slowing down from the central city to the surrounding area; ③ The rural hollowing of Sichuan Province is a result of a variety of factors

with the local financial revenue and the gross output value of agriculture

forestry

animal husbandry and fishery being the most positively and negatively correlated influencing factors

respectively.

关键词

Keywords

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