中国城市住宅用地出让地价时空格局及影响因素分析

孟德友; 李士超; 史焱文

doi:10.16152/j.cnki.xdxbzr.2026-04-002

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中国城市住宅用地出让地价时空格局及影响因素分析

人地系统科学 | 更新时间：2026-07-27

- 中国城市住宅用地出让地价时空格局及影响因素分析
- Spatio-temporal pattern characteristics and influencing factors of urban residential land prices in China
- 西北大学学报（自然科学版） 2026年56卷第4期页码：684-698
- 作者机构：
  
  河南财经政法大学　城乡规划学院，河南　郑州　450046
- 作者简介：
  
  孟德友，男，博士，教授，从事城市与区域经济、空间结构与区域发展研究，mengdeyou01@163.com。
- 基金信息：
  
  国家自然科学基金(42271225);河南省高等学校重点科研项目(24A170006)
- DOI：10.16152/j.cnki.xdxbzr.2026-04-002
  中图分类号： F293.3
- 收稿：2026-05-30，
  
  修回：2026-07-16，
  
  纸质出版：2026-08-25
- 稿件说明：
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孟德友, 李士超, 史焱文. 中国城市住宅用地出让地价时空格局及影响因素分析[J]. 西北大学学报（自然科学版）, 2026,56(4):684-698.

Meng Deyou, Li Shichao, Shi Yanwen. Spatio-temporal pattern characteristics and influencing factors of urban residential land prices in China[J]. Journal of Northwest University (Natural Science Edition), 2026, 56(4): 684-698.
孟德友, 李士超, 史焱文. 中国城市住宅用地出让地价时空格局及影响因素分析[J]. 西北大学学报（自然科学版）, 2026,56(4):684-698. DOI： 10.16152/j.cnki.xdxbzr.2026-04-002.

Meng Deyou, Li Shichao, Shi Yanwen. Spatio-temporal pattern characteristics and influencing factors of urban residential land prices in China[J]. Journal of Northwest University (Natural Science Edition), 2026, 56(4): 684-698. DOI： 10.16152/j.cnki.xdxbzr.2026-04-002.

摘要

基于中国2010—2021年城市住宅用地供应结果数据，运用空间分析和计量分析方法对中国地级及以上城市的住宅地价发展态势、空间格局特征及影响因素进行探究。结果显示：①中国城市住宅地价呈不同程度的上涨趋势，城市间的地价差异不断拉大，且表现出明显的阶段性变化特征；②中国城市住宅地价存在显著的空间分异和空间集聚特征，城市住宅地价东部高于西部，直辖市>副省级城市>省会城市>地级市>其他地级行政单元，城市群高于非城市群，高住宅地价城市在长三角地区集聚连片；③住宅地价是城市经济、社会、人口、公共设施和房地产投资等因素综合作用的结果，各因素对本城市和邻接城市的直接效应和间接效应的作用方向和作用程度不同而使城市住宅地价呈现出显著的空间异质性。该研究有助于识别中国城市住宅地价的空间分布规律，揭示地价因素对住宅地价的影响及差别，为各城市因城施策、制定差异化调控政策提供参考。

Abstract

Based on the data of residential land supply in China's land market network from 2010 to 2021

the development trend

the spatial pattern evolution characteristics and the influencing factors of residential land prices in prefecture-level and above cities in China are explored using statistical analysis

spatial analysis and spatial Durbin model. Results show that: ① The level of residential land prices in Chinese cities has shown an upward trend to varying degrees during the research period

the disparity of residential land prices among cities also has been widening

and it has shown obvious characteristics of phased changes; ② There are significant spatial differentiation characteristics and spatial agglomeration characteristics of residential land prices in Chinese cities

the residential land prices are higher in east areas than the west

the higher the administrative level of a city

the higher the level of residential land prices

roughly showing the gradient distribution pattern of municipalities directly under the Central Government>sub-provincial cities>capital cities>other prefecture-level cities

the high-level areas are concentrated in Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration areas; ③ Urban residential land prices are the result of the interplay of economic

social

demographic

public facilities and real estate investment factors in the city

and the direct and indirect effects of these factors on the city and neighboring cities have different directions and degrees of influence

which results a significant spatial heterogeneity in urban residential land prices. The study is helpful to identify the spatial distribution of urban residential land prices in China

to explain the impact of land price factors on residential land prices and differences

and to provide reference for the formulation of differential regulation policies.

关键词

Keywords

references

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